Ukraine is the
only partner with which NATO will hold a separate meeting at the 2016
summit in Warsaw. Political observer Raman Yakavleuski tells Belsat TV
about Ukraine’s going to the West and explains why Ukrainians are
anticipating Russia’s attack from the territory of Belarus.
Can any post-Soviet country become a member of NATO in the near future?
I would not use the word ‘near’, but such chance is
within the realm of possibility for Georgia, Ukraine and, perhaps,
Moldova. It is the aggressive policy of Puting that is pushing Ukraine
to NATO. The number of NATO – and it’s no secret – is growing in
Ukraine.
What was the reason for Ukraine’s and Georgia’s starting to actively cooperate with NATO in the 90s?
In the both countries, there is a change of those in
power. There is a general belief that the path to Europe lies through
NATO as a defense alliance as well. As a defense alliance, and not
aggressive. When Putin says that one of the motives for the annexation
of Crimea was a threat of NATO, he lies.
At the present day, when we see the EU facing the
crisis – in the first place, I mean the recent referendum in the UK –
many people are expecting much of NATO and of the Warsaw summit in
particular.
This is a landmark event at which all the
participants should strengthen their consolidation. European countries
ought to think about a larger contribution to the common cause.
I am sure that NATO will be consolidating. Romania,
which has taken the initiative of creating a Black Sea Fleet, can be an
example of it. The decision on the initiative in which Ukraine, Moldova
and Georgia are also involved is to be approved in Warsaw.
And don’t you think that this project failed after Bulgaria had refused to participate?
I would not say so. I don’t think Bulgaria has the
say here. In my opinion, the creation of the Black Sea Fleet NATO is not
at all an unlikely scenario. In response to establishing ‘Putin’s line’
from Sukhumi to Kaliningrad, NATO is building up from the Baltic Sea to
the Black Sea. In fact, Putin revived NATO, Nato was sleeping. As we
remember, NATO’s response to the war in Georgia was different. The
annexation of the Crimea and the Ukrainian tragedy changed the
situation. One can say that Putin woke NATO up. On the one hand, it
causes tension. On the other hand, the Alliance’s consciousness is
rising.
What proposals will be set to Georgia,
Moldova and Ukraine, and what can they offer NATO? For example,
Poroshenko is taking part in the summit…
Georgia and Moldova are small countries, the latter
is a neutral state in accordance with its Constitution. As for Ukraine,
battleworthy armed forces are being created there, because it is the
unpreparedness of the Ukrainian army that led to their defeat in the war
against Russia. Americans are engaged in the process, as well as
British.
There is also a problem of protection of nuclear
power plants in Ukraine. I believe it will be an occasion for greater
cooperation with NATO in Ukraine.